MANSUKH investment & Trading services is an Online Trading Solution provider giving you ideas about latest stock market happenings, online stock & mutual fund tracking, equity research and offering advice to both fledgling investors and experienced day traders. For Best Online Commodity Services visit their site http://www.moneysukh.com
By Shirish Sha
Published on Friday 21st 2011
HAPPY TRADING AND HAVE A VERY PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR -2011.
Indian Equities- Top Class Performance, Bull Run Ahead
The Indian equity markets
snapped the calendar year 2010 on a solid note with an optimism of a
great year ahead. The passing year proved to be a good one for the
domestic markets as the major indices were not only able to garner good
gains but scaled their more than two and half years high.. Global funds
bought this year record Rs 1.31 trillion worth of equities. The Sensex
and Nifty rallied more than 15% each this year while the midcap index is
up by almost 16%. The commodities markets have also seen a significant
upside with crude being up 13% year-to-date, gold prices up 28.1% and
silver surging 81% year-to-date. Journey for the Indian stock
exchange attained over the past decade has been overwhelming. On January
1, 2001, the entire market capitalization of the Bombay Stock Exchange
was about Rs. 700,000 crore that is USD 150 billion. At present, the
whole market capitalization of BSE is about Rs. 70, 70,000 crore, that
is USD 1570 billion, indicating a 9 times increase in market cap over
the past decade. At
the commencement of the decade, the Sensex was at 3972. Currently, it
is trading above 20,000, more than 400% rise over the past decade. In
other words, if somebody had invested Rs 100,000 in the Sensex at the
beginning of thedecade, it would have currently more than Rs 400000.FII
inflows have been the highest ever in India's history in 2010 at USD
28.6 billion in nine and a half months. In 2009, FIIs invested USD 17.6
billion while the year before in 2008, India registered foreign
investors inflows of USD 12.7 billion. One-third of the total FII
inflows this year went into the primary market. MF
outflows for the year stood at USD 6 billion, also the highest ever in
history. A year ago, outflows stood at USD 1.17 billion. Domestic
insurance inflows however have seen a steady decline over the last two
years. Among sectors in the Indian market, 2010 did not favor the
leaders. In almost every sector, the stock of the second-biggest company
was more favored than the leaders.Thus,
ICICI Bank outperformed SBI, Hindalco outperformed Tata Steel, Idea
Cellular beat Bharti and Lupin overtook DRL, Ranbaxy. At the top of the
gainers among midcaps was United Breweries which gained 197% during the
year. Titan Industries continued its stellar run with a 147% gain over
its closing price in 2009..
MARKET OUTLOOK:While
looking at the current series Nifty January futures saw an addition of
10.36% or 1.97 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open
interest (OI) to 21.04 mn units. For Nifty calls, 6200 strike price (SP)
from the January series was the most active call with an addition of
0.84 mn or 26.96%. Among Nifty puts, 6100 SP from the January month
expiry was the most active put with an addition of 0.71 mn or 24.42%.
The maximum Call OI outstanding was at 6200 SP (3.94 mn) and that for
Puts at 6100 SP (3.63 mn). Among most active underlyings SBI witnessed
an addition of 3.69% in the January month futures contract, followed by
Tata Steel which saw an addition of 3.87% of OI in the near month
contract. Tata Motors witnessed an addition of 4.05% in the near-month
futures. Reliance Industries saw an addition of 2.89% in the OI while
IFCI witnessed an addition of 4.18% in the near month futures contract.
Hence we are expecting slightly bullish scenario however 6200-6230 might
be the crucial resistance zone. On the flip side 5900 should act as a
crucial support in current scenario.
HAPPY TRADING AND HAVE A VERY PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR -2011.
MANSUKH investment & Trading services is an Online Trading
Solution provider giving you ideas about latest stock market
happenings, online stock & mutual fund tracking, Indian market
and offering advice to both fledgling investors and experienced day
traders. For Best Online Commodity Services visit their site
http://www.moneysukh.com and see more about Indian Equity